GMP Of IPO - Real-Time Grey Market Premium | IPOGMPINDIA
📈
8
Positive GMP
💹
₹14
Avg. GMP
🔥
₹34
Highest GMP
43.48%
Max Expected Gain
FA
Mainboard 9-11 Feb Upcoming
₹180
Grey Market Premium
₹—
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Hot
BoA Date: 12-Feb
Listing: 16-Feb
Issue Size: ₹2,833.90 Cr
Anchor: ✅ Yes
BR
NSE SME 4-6 Feb Open
₹12
Grey Market Premium
₹176
Issue Price
+6.82%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥 Subscribe
Expected Listing: ₹188
Listing Date: 9-Feb (11-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹81.78 Cr
Lot Size: 800
AN
BSE SME 28-30 Jan Allotted
₹68 ↑↑
Grey Market Premium
₹129
Issue Price
+52.71%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Strong Buy
Expected Listing: ₹197
Subscription: 1.83x
Listing: 2-Feb (4-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹23.53 Cr
ME
BSE SME 28-30 Jan Allotted
₹21
Grey Market Premium
₹123
Issue Price
+17.07%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥🔥 Subscribe
Expected Listing: ₹144
Subscription: 166.72x
Listing: 2-Feb (4-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹62.75 Cr
KM
BSE SME 27-30 Jan Listed @₹64
₹0
Grey Market Premium
₹64
Issue Price
0.00%
Listing Gain
🔥 Average
Listed Price: ₹64.00
Subscription: 17.75x
Listed On: 3-Feb
Issue Size: ₹16.73 Cr
HJ
BSE SME 22-29 Jan Listed @₹65
₹0
Grey Market Premium
₹70
Issue Price
-7.14%
Listing Loss
⚠️ Avoid
Listed Price: ₹65.00
Subscription: 1.54x
Listed On: 2-Feb
Issue Size: ₹39.90 Cr
AF
Mainboard Upcoming Upcoming
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹—
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Watch
Issue Price: ₹1,450.00
Updated: 3-Feb 8:20
Anchor: ❌ No
Status: Upcoming
FA
Mainboard 9-11 Feb Upcoming
₹180
Grey Market Premium
₹—
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Hot
BoA Date: 12-Feb
Listing: 16-Feb
Issue Size: ₹2,833.90 Cr
Anchor: ✅ Yes
PH
BSE SME 6-10 Feb Upcoming
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹78
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Watch
Lot Size: 1,600
Listing: 11-Feb (13-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹14.08 Cr
Anchor: ✅ Yes
BC
NSE SME 6-10 Feb Upcoming
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹108
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Watch
Lot Size: 1,200
Listing: 11-Feb (13-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹29.63 Cr
Anchor: ❌ No
GJ
NSE SME 4-6 Feb Upcoming
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹88
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Watch
Lot Size: 1,600
Listing: 9-Feb (11-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹32.13 Cr
Anchor: ✅ Yes
BR
NSE SME 4-6 Feb Open
₹12
Grey Market Premium
₹176
Issue Price
+6.82%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥 Subscribe
Expected Listing: ₹188
Lot Size: 800
Listing: 9-Feb (11-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹81.78 Cr
CK
NSE SME 30 Jan - 4 Feb Closed
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹163
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Average
Subscription: 1.63x
Lot Size: 800
Listing: 4-Feb (6-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹83.56 Cr
AN
BSE SME 28-30 Jan Allotted
₹68 ↑↑
Grey Market Premium
₹129
Issue Price
+52.71%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Strong Buy
Expected Listing: ₹197
Subscription: 1.83x
Listing: 2-Feb (4-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹23.53 Cr
ME
BSE SME 28-30 Jan Allotted
₹21
Grey Market Premium
₹123
Issue Price
+17.07%
Expected Gain
🔥🔥🔥 Subscribe
Expected Listing: ₹144
Subscription: 166.72x
Listing: 2-Feb (4-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹62.75 Cr
KA
BSE SME 28-30 Jan Closed
₹—
Grey Market Premium
₹73
Issue Price
Expected Gain
🔥 Average
Subscription: 1.04x
Lot Size: 1,600
Listing: 2-Feb (4-Feb)
Issue Size: ₹27.74 Cr
KM
BSE SME 27-30 Jan Listed @₹64
₹0
Grey Market Premium
₹64
Issue Price
0.00%
Listing Gain
🔥 Average
Listed Price: ₹64.00
Subscription: 17.75x
Listed On: 3-Feb
Issue Size: ₹16.73 Cr
HJ
BSE SME 22-29 Jan Listed @₹65
₹0
Grey Market Premium

Understanding Grey Market Premium (GMP)

💹
What is GMP?

Grey Market Premium is the price at which IPO shares trade unofficially before listing. It indicates market sentiment and expected listing price.

📊

How GMP Works

If GMP is ₹10 and issue price is ₹100, shares may list at ₹110. GMP changes based on demand, subscription, and market conditions.

⚠️

Is GMP Accurate?

GMP is an unofficial indicator, not guaranteed. Actual listing price may differ based on market sentiment on listing day.

🎯

Using GMP Data

Use GMP as one factor in decision-making. Consider fundamentals, financials, valuation, and market conditions before investing.

Simple Formula

Expected Listing Price = IPO Issue Price + Current GMP

Real Example

  • Company: Stallion India Fluorochemicals Ltd
  • Issue Price: ₹90
  • Live GMP Today: ₹30
  • Expected Listing Price: ₹120 (₹90 + ₹30)
  • Potential Gain: 33.33%%

Understanding: When IPO GMP is ₹30, investors in the grey market are willing to pay ₹30 above the issue price before official listing, indicating strong demand.

Example: If an IPO issue price is ₹90 and the live GMP IPO rate shows ₹30, the estimated listing price would be ₹120 (₹90 + ₹30).

Interactive IPO GMP

Calculate Your Potential Returns Based on Current GMP With Our IPO GMP Calculator.

How IPO Grey Market Premium Works

The grey market for IPO operates as an unofficial over-the-counter trading system where investors trade IPO applications and shares before official listing.

Grey Market Trading Process

  1. IPO Announcement → Initial GMP estimates emerge based on company profile
  2. IPO Opening → Active grey market trading begins; GMP fluctuates based on subscription data
  3. Subscription Period → GMP adjusts based on retail, HNI, and QIB subscription levels
  4. Allotment Day → Final GMP crystallizes before listing
  5. Listing Day → Actual listing price may match, exceed, or fall below GMP expectations

Factors Affecting Current IPO GMP

Company-Specific Factors:

  • Financial performance and growth trajectory
  • Promoter track record and corporate governance
  • Business model strength and competitive advantages
  • IPO valuation vs. industry peers
  • Objects of the issue (fund utilization plans)

Market Factors:

  • Overall stock market sentiment (bull/bear phase)
  • Sector-specific trends and peer performance
  • Subscription numbers (retail, HNI, institutional)
  • Anchor investor participation and quality
  • Economic indicators and policy environment

Grey Market Dynamics:

  • Demand-supply balance in unofficial trading
  • Large investor interest and trading volumes
  • News flow and analyst recommendations
  • Social media buzz and retail investor sentiment

Types of GMP Trading: Kostak vs Subject to Sauda

Kostak Rate

Definition: Fixed premium received by selling your IPO application regardless of allotment outcome.

How It Works:

  • You apply for an IPO with ₹50,000
  • Agree to sell application at Kostak rate of ₹5,000
  • You receive ₹5,000 whether you get allotment or not
  • If allotted, shares go to the buyer
  • If not allotted, refund goes back to you, buyer gets nothing

Example:

  • IPO Issue Price: ₹300
  • Kostak Rate: ₹3,000 per lot
  • Your Investment: ₹30,000 (1 lot = 100 shares)
  • Scenario 1 (Allotment): You get ₹3,000, buyer gets shares worth ₹30,000
  • Scenario 2 (No Allotment): You get ₹3,000 + ₹30,000 refund, buyer gets nothing

Subject to Sauda

Definition: Premium paid only if IPO allotment is confirmed. Transaction cancelled if no allotment.

How It Works:

  • You apply for an IPO
  • Agree to sell at Subject to Sauda rate of ₹8,000
  • Payment received ONLY if you get allotment
  • If no allotment, no payment exchanged

Example:

  • IPO Issue Price: ₹500
  • Subject to Sauda: ₹10,000 per lot
  • Scenario 1 (Allotment): You get ₹10,000 premium, buyer gets shares
  • Scenario 2 (No Allotment): No transaction, both parties walk away

Which Rate is Higher?

Subject to Sauda rates are typically 2-3x higher than Kostak because:

  • Buyer takes allotment risk
  • Payment only on successful allotment
  • Higher risk justifies higher premium

How to Check IPO GMP – Best Methods

1. Verified IPO GMP Websites - Recommended

IPOGMPIndia.com (This Platform)

  • ✅ Real-time updates every 30 minutes
  • ✅ Mainboard + SME IPO coverage
  • ✅ Historical GMP tracking with accuracy data
  • ✅ Interactive tools and calculators
  • ✅ Free WhatsApp and email alerts
  • ✅ Expert analysis and commentary

Other Verified Sources:

2. Mobile Apps

  • IPO GMP India App (Android/iOS) – Real-time notifications
  • Stock market apps with GMP sections
  • Broker-specific IPO tracking apps

3. Telegram Channels & WhatsApp Groups

Use with Caution:

  • Verify information across multiple sources
  • Avoid groups that charge fees for GMP data
  • Be wary of manipulation or fake GMP claims
  • Cross-check with verified websites

4. Market Dealers & Brokers

  • Direct contact with grey market dealers
  • Risk: Unregulated transactions, no investor protection
  • Our Recommendation: Use for information only, not for trading

IPO GMP Live Today – Market Analysis

Top Performing IPOs by GMP

Highest GMP Today:

1. Bajaj Housing Finance IPO GMP: ₹70-74 (+100-105%) | Subscription: 67.43x

2. Hyundai IPO GMP: ₹35-75 (+1.8-3.8%) | Subscription: 2.37x

3. Data Patterns IPO GMP: ₹320 (+54.7%) | Subscription: 119.62x

Trending IPOs Most Watched:

1. Nykaa IPO GMP: ₹565-700 (+50-62%) | Subscription: 81.78x

2. Paytm IPO GMP: ₹30-135 (+1.4-6.3%) | Subscription: 1.72x

3. Tega Industries IPO GMP: ₹270-425 (+59.6-93.8%) | Subscription: 219.04x

GMP Movers – Biggest Changes Today

Gainers (GMP Increased)

▲ Latent View Analytics IPO GMP: ₹210 → ₹320 (+₹110) – Reason: Oversubscription crossed 326x

▲ Mobikwik IPO GMP: ₹136 → ₹165 (+₹29) – Reason: Strong retail & QIB participation (120x oversubscription)

Decliners (GMP Decreased):

▼ Ola Electric IPO GMP: ₹16 → -₹3 (-₹19) – Reason: Profitability concerns & valuation worries

INDIAN IPO MARKET 2025 - SECTOR-WISE PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

Overall Market Snapshot (Calendar Year 2025)

  • Total Mainboard IPOs: 106-108 listings
  • Total Capital Raised: ₹1.83 lakh crore (₹1,83,000+ crore)
  • Average Listing Gains: 8-9% (median: 3.8%)
  • Successful Listings (at premium): 65%
  • Oversubscription: Median 22x (QIB: 102x, Retail: 35x)

1. FINANCIAL SERVICES & NBFC SECTOR

  • Share of Total Fundraising: Largest contributor (approx. 45-50%)
  • Capital Raised: ₹80,000+ crore
  • Total Mainboard IPOs: 15-20 listings
  • Trend: Dominated 2025 fundraising
  • Notable IPOs:
    • Tata Capital IPO (₹15,512 crore) – Listing gain: +1%
    • HDB Financial Services IPO (₹12,500 crore) – Strong investor response
    • NSDL, ICICI Prudential AMC IPO – Listing gain: +20%+
    • Laxmi India Finance IPO (₹254 crore)

2. TECHNOLOGY & DIGITAL/NEW-AGE COMPANIES

  • Share of Total Fundraising: 9.2%
  • Capital Raised: ₹18,000 crore
  • Average Listing Gains: 43% (highest among sectors)
  • Trend: Strong bullish sentiment, top performer
  • Notable IPOs:
    • Meesho IPO (₹5,421 crore) – Listing gain: +53%, Current: +95%
    • Urban Company IPO (₹1,900 crore) – Listing gain: +57%
    • Groww IPO – Listing gain: +14%, Current: +72%
    • PhysicsWallah IPO – Listing gain: +33%

3. MANUFACTURING & INFRASTRUCTURE (Capital Goods)

  • Share of Total Fundraising: 9.5%
  • Capital Raised: ₹18,500 crore
  • Average Listing Gains: 15-20%
  • Trend: Strong capacity expansion momentum
  • Notable IPOs:
    • Highway Infrastructure IPO – Listing gain: +64% (best performer)
    • Quadrant Future Tek IPO – Strong listing gains
    • Standard Glass Lining IPO – Strong investor response
    • Sambhav Steel Tubes IPO – Listing gain: +34%

4. HEALTHCARE & PHARMACEUTICALS

  • Share of Total Fundraising: 6.4%
  • Capital Raised: ₹12,500 crore
  • Average Listing Gains: 20-25%
  • Trend: Steady growth, stable sector
  • Notable IPOs:
    • Corona Remedies IPO – Strong listing performance
    • Various pharma companies showing 20%+ listing gains

5. CONSUMER DURABLES & ELECTRONICS

  • Share of Total Fundraising: 6%
  • Capital Raised: ₹11,700 crore
  • Average Listing Gains: 45-50%
  • Trend: Premium consumer brands performed exceptionally
  • Notable IPOs:
    • LG Electronics India IPO (₹5,200 crore) – Listing gain: +48-50%
    • GNG Electronics IPO – Listing gain: +50%

6. INDUSTRIALS, ENGINEERING & REAL ESTATE

  • Share of Total Fundraising: 15-20% (combined)
  • Notable Performance: Infrastructure and construction materials featured prominently
  • Trend: Benefited from domestic manufacturing push

🏆 TOP PERFORMERS BY CURRENT GAINS (Issue Price vs Dec 2025)

  • Stallion India Fluorochemicals: +159%
  • Ather Energy: +124%
  • Aditya Infotech: +120%
  • Belrise Industries: +103%
  • Meesho: +95%

KEY MARKET INSIGHTS FOR 2025:

Positive Indicators:

  • Record fundraising despite global volatility
  • NSE became #1 globally for funds raised
  • Strong retail participation (SIP inflows supporting IPO absorption)
  • Financial services dominated with mega NBFCs

Challenges:

  • Listing gains compressed (9% avg vs 29% in 2024)
  • 59% of IPOs trading below listing price by year-end
  • High subscription ≠ guaranteed listing gains
  • SME sector highly volatile (120 green, 132 red debuts)

Sectoral Trends:

  • Technology: Highest listing gains at 43%
  • Financial Services: Largest capital raised but muted listing gains
  • Capital Goods/Infra: Consistent 15-20% returns
  • Consumer Durables: Premium brands delivered 45-50% gains

IPO GMP Accuracy – Historical Performance

Based on Industry Research (100+ IPOs):

Overall Accuracy Statistics:

  • 75% – Listings within ±10% of final GMP
  • 18% – Listings exceeded GMP expectations
  • 7% – Listings below GMP predictions
IPO GMP Performance Analysis Table
GMP Range Total IPOs Listed Above GMP Listed at GMP ±10% Listed Below GMP
Negative GMP 82 (25%) 3 (37.5%) 3 (37.5%) 0
0-20% GMP 325 (15.6%) 24 (75%) 3 (9.4%) -
20-50% GMP 459 (20%) 33 (73.3%) 3 (6.7%) -
50%+ GMP 152 (13.3%) 9 (60%) 4 (26.7%) -

Key Insights:

  1. Moderate GMP (20-50%) shows highest accuracy
  2. Very high GMP (50%+) carries greater deviation risk
  3. Negative GMP doesn’t always mean listing losses
  4. Subscription levels + GMP together predict better

Is IPO GMP Always Right? Understanding Limitations

When GMP is Reliable​

High Accuracy Scenarios:

  • Strong fundamental company with reasonable valuation
  • Consistent GMP stability throughout subscription period
  • High oversubscription across all categories (retail, HNI, QIB)
  • Stable market conditions without external shocks
  • GMP in moderate range (15-40%)

When GMP Can Be Wrong

Low Accuracy Scenarios:

  1. Market Volatility: Sudden market correction on listing day
  2. Over-hype: Excessive social media buzz creating artificial GMP
  3. Manipulation: Small grey market volumes prone to price rigging
  4. Last-minute Changes: Company news or policy changes post-closure
  5. Extreme GMP: Very high (>60%) or negative GMP less reliable

REAL CASE STUDIES

Case 1: High GMP Success

  • Company: Zomato Ltd (2021)
  • Issue Price: ₹76
  • Final GMP Range: ₹17-₹25 (approximately +22-33%)
  • Actual Listing: ₹116 (+52.6% on NSE)
  • Result: Listing exceeded GMP expectations significantly due to strong food-tech sentiment

Case 2: High GMP Disappointment

  • Company: Paytm (2021)
  • Issue Price: ₹2,150
  • Initial GMP: ₹125-₹135 (early stage), dropped to ₹26-₹30 (+1.4%) before listing, then turned negative (-₹20 to -₹30)
  • Actual Listing: ₹1,950 (NSE opening, -9.3%), closed at ₹1,560 (-27.4%)
  • Result: GMP correctly predicted weak listing; negative GMP materialized into listing loss

Case 3: Negative GMP Surprise

  • Company: LIC India (2022)
  • Issue Price: ₹949
  • Final GMP: -₹19 to -₹30 (approximately -2% to -3.2%)
  • Actual Listing: ₹872 (-8.1%)
  • Result: Negative sentiment confirmed; actual listing loss was worse than GMP indicated

How Much GMP is Good for IPO Investment?

GMP Investment Strategy Framework

Negative GMP (-10% to -25%)

Signal: Weak investor sentiment, overvaluation concerns
Strategy:

  • High risk – avoid unless strong fundamentals
  • May indicate pricing issue, not business issue
  • Consider only if you believe in long-term story
  • Recent examples listing positive despite negative GMP exist

Low GMP (0% to 15%)

Signal: Modest demand, fair pricing
Strategy:

  • Lower risk entry point
  • Good for conservative investors
  • Focus on company quality over listing pop
  • Potential for long-term wealth creation
  • Less speculation-driven

Moderate GMP (15% to 40%)

Signal: Strong demand, reasonable enthusiasm
Strategy:

  • Sweet spot for balanced approach
  • Historically highest accuracy
  • Combine with fundamental analysis
  • Good risk-reward ratio
  • Suitable for most retail investors

High GMP (40% to 70%)

Signal: Very strong demand, high expectations
Strategy:

  • Elevated risk of disappointment
  • Book partial profits on listing if possible
  • Vulnerable to market sentiment shifts
  • Ensure fundamentals justify premium
  • Be prepared for volatility

Very High GMP (70%+)

Signal: Excessive hype, speculation-driven
Strategy:

  • Extreme caution required
  • High probability of profit booking on listing
  • Often followed by correction
  • Consider avoiding unless exceptional business
  • Risk of grey market manipulation

Expert Recommendation Matrix

Investor Profile GMP Guide Table
Your Profile Risk Appetite Ideal GMP Range Investment Approach
First-time Investor Low 10-25% Quality over quick gains
Conservative Investor Low-Medium 15-35% Balanced fundamentals + sentiment
Moderate Investor Medium 20-50% Selective high-potential IPOs
Aggressive Investor High 30-70% High-risk, high-reward plays
Trader/Flipper Very High Any Focus on listing gains only

Latest IPO GMP News & Updates

TODAY'S IPO MARKET HIGHLIGHTS – JANUARY 28, 2026

Breaking News:

SEBI approves 13 new IPO applications in January 2026 – Including Purple Style Labs (₹660 crore), BVG India, CMR Green Technologies, Pride Hotels (₹1,000 crore), Hella Infra, and Sify Infinit Spaces.

Shadowfax IPO closes with 2.72x subscription – QIBs oversubscribed 3.81x, Retail 2.82x; GMP drops to zero amid market volatility.

SEBI tightens SME IPO norms (effective March-July 2025) – Minimum ₹1 crore EBITDA requirement, 20% OFS cap, stricter promoter lock-in, 21-day public comment period on DRHP.

Important Reminders:

Allotment Today:

Shadowfax Technologies – Allotment finalized January 23, listing scheduled January 28; Current GMP: ₹0 (flat)

Opening This Week:
  1. Kasturi Metal Composite (SME) – Opens January 27.
  2. Three SME IPOs – Opening January 28.
  3. KRM Ayurveda IPO (SME) – Current GMP: ₹17.
  4. Digilogic Systems IPO (SME).
Listing This Week:
  • Shadowfax Technologies (Mainboard) – Listing January 28, 2026
  • Four SME companies – Also listing during the week

This Week's Performance (Week of January 20-27, 2026):

Mainboard IPO Activity:
  • 5 SME IPOs worth ₹226 crore scheduled for the week.
  • 5 listings scheduled, with Shadowfax as the only mainboard debut
Recent Market Sentiment:
  • SME IPOs in December 2025 faced steep declines despite massive oversubscription.
  • 59% of 2025 IPOs trading below listing price by year-end, despite strong initial subscription.
  • Market volatility impacting GMP and investor sentiment.

IPO Investment Strategy Using GMP Data

Step-by-Step Investment Framework

Step 1: Check Live IPO GMP

  • Review current GMP on IPOGMPIndia.com
  • Track GMP trend over 3-5 days.
  • Compare with similar IPOs in sector.

Step 2: Analyze Fundamentals

  • Read company’s DRHP and RHP documents
  • Evaluate financials: Revenue growth, profitability, debt
  • Check promoter background and corporate governance
  • Assess business model and competitive positioning

Step 3: Check Subscription Status

  • Monitor category-wise subscription (Retail, HNI, QIB)
  • Strong QIB participation is positive signal
  • Oversubscription indicates demand but check quality

Step 4: Evaluate Valuation

  • Compare P/E ratio with industry peers
  • Check price-to-book and other relevant metrics
  • Assess if valuation leaves room for growth
  • High GMP + High valuation = Risk

Step 5: Assess Market Conditions

  • Overall market trend (bullish/bearish)
  • Sector-specific momentum
  • Recent IPO listing track record
  • Volatility index (VIX) levels

Step 6: Make Informed Decision

  • Combine GMP insight with fundamental analysis
  • Decide application amount based on risk appetite
  • Consider cut-off price vs lower price band
  • Set realistic expectations

IPO Grey Market Premium FAQs - Your Questions Answered

Basic Questions

Advanced Questions

IPO Grey Market Premium Glossary

Essential Terms Every Investor Should Know:

A-C

  • Allotment: Share allocation process post-IPO closure
  • Anchor Investors: Large institutional investors who get shares pre-IPO
  • Book Building: Price discovery process for IPO
  • Cut-off Price: Maximum price in price band
  • Current GMP: Latest grey market premium rate

D-G

  • DRHP: Draft Red Herring Prospectus
  • Grey Market: Unofficial over-the-counter IPO trading
  • GMP: Grey Market Premium

H-L

  • HNI: High Net Worth Individual category
  • Issue Price: Final price at which IPO shares are offered
  • Kostak Rate: Fixed premium for selling application
  • Listing Day: First day of official stock exchange trading
  • Lot Size: Minimum shares in one IPO application

M-Q

  • Mainboard IPO: Large-cap IPO listing on BSE/NSE
  • Oversubscription: When applications exceed available shares
  • Premium: Amount above issue price
  • QIB: Qualified Institutional Buyer

R-Z

  • Retail Category: Individual investors with application <₹2 lakh
  • RHP: Red Herring Prospectus
  • SME IPO: Small & Medium Enterprise IPO
  • Subject to Sauda: Premium paid only on allotment
  • Subscription: Total applications received vs shares offered

IPO GMP and Market Conditions

Bull Market Impact on GMP

Characteristics:

  • Higher average GMP across IPOs
  • More oversubscription
  • Greater listing gains
  • Lower negative GMP occurrences

Historical Example:

INDIA IPO MARKET 2025 – QUARTERLY & ANNUAL PERFORMANCE

Full Year 2025 (FY 2024-25: April 2024 – March 2025)

  • Total Mainboard IPOs: 80 (KPMG) / 108 (Calendar year, INDmoney)
  • Total Capital Raised: ₹1.63 lakh crore (FY25) / ₹1.83 lakh crore (CY25)
  • Median Listing Gain: 3.8% (down from 15.2% in 2024 and 16.5% in 2023)

Average Listing Gain (by size):

  • Small IPOs (<₹1,000 crore): 8-9%
  • Mid-sized IPOs (₹1,000-₹5,000 crore): 14% listing, 21% current
  • Large IPOs (>₹5,000 crore): 18% listing, 27% current

Successful Listings: 65% listed at profit, 23% at loss, 12% flat.

Post-Listing Reality: 59% trading below listing price by year-end, only 41% above.

IPO Investment Checklist Using GMP

Before Applying (Use This Checklist)

Company Research:

  •  Read DRHP/RHP thoroughly
  •  Analyzed last 3 years financials
  •  Checked promoter background
  •  Evaluated business model
  •  Compared with competitors

GMP Analysis:

  •  Checked current live GMP on verified source
  •  Tracked GMP trend for 3+ days
  •  Compared GMP with similar IPOs
  •  Assessed GMP range (low/moderate/high)
  •  Reviewed historical accuracy of GMP range

Valuation Check:

  • Compared P/E with industry
  •  Evaluated price-to-book ratio
  •  Assessed if pricing fair or expensive
  •  Considered objects of the issue

Subscription Monitoring:

  • Tracked retail subscription
  •  Checked HNI interest
  •  Reviewed QIB participation
  •  Noted anchor investor quality

Market Conditions:

  • Overall market trend assessed
  •  Sector performance evaluated
  •  Recent IPO listing track record checked
  •  VIX and volatility considered

Risk Assessment:

  •  Set investment amount (max 5-10% of portfolio)
  •  Realistic expectations defined
  •  Exit strategy planned
  •  Comfortable with potential loss

SME IPO GMP – Special Focus

Why SME IPOs Matter

Characteristics:

  • Smaller issue size (₹10-200 Cr)
  • Higher volatility in GMP
  • Potential for outsized gains
  • Limited analyst coverage
  • Higher risk profile

SME vs Mainboard GMP Comparison

Mainboard vs SME IPO Comparison Table
Parameter Mainboard IPOs SME IPOs
Average GMP 25% 35%
GMP Volatility Moderate High
Listing Gain 20-30% 30-60%
Risk Level Low-Medium Medium-High
Research Available Extensive Limited

IPO GMP Tools & Resources

Free Tools Available

1. Live GMP Tracker

  • Real-time data for all IPOs
  • Sortable and filterable
  • Export to Excel

2. GMP Calculator

  • Calculate potential returns
  • Lot size optimization
  • Break-even analysis

3. IPO Comparison Tool

  • Compare up to 4 IPOs
  • Side-by-side metrics
  • GMP trend comparison

4. Subscription Tracker

  • Category-wise data
  • Real-time updates
  • Historical patterns

5. Allotment Predictor

6. Portfolio Tracker

  • Applied IPOs
  • Allotment status
  • ROI tracking

IPO Application Guide

How to Apply for IPO Using GMP Insights

How to Apply for IPO Using GMP Insights Image
Apply for IPO Using GMP Insights Image

Grey Market Trading Risks – Important Warnings

Why We Don’t Recommend Grey Market Participation

Critical Risks:

1. Regulatory Risk
  • Unregulated by SEBI
  • No legal framework
  • Zero investor protection
  • No grievance redressal

2. Counterparty Risk

  • Dealer may default
  • No guarantee of payment
  • Identity verification issues
  • Fraud possibilities

3. Manipulation Risk

  • Small volumes easily manipulated
  • False GMP information spread
  • Coordinated pump-and-dump
  • Artificial scarcity creation

4. Financial Risk

  • May lose Kostak payment if allotment rejected
  • Subject to Sauda premium lost if no allotment
  • No stop-loss mechanism
  • Price discovery opaque

5. Legal Risk

  • Tax implications unclear
  • Potential future regulations
  • Transaction documentation weak

Our Recommendation

Do This:

  • Use GMP data for research only
  • Apply through official channels
  • Trade on stock exchanges post-listing
  • Consult SEBI-registered advisors

Avoid This:

  • Direct grey market trading
  • Paying for “guaranteed allotment”
  • Sharing PAN/bank details with dealers
  • Following unverified telegram tips

Legal Disclaimer

Important Information for All Users:

1. Investment Risk Disclosure:

  • All investments in stock markets involve risk
  • IPO investments can result in loss of capital
  • Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results
  • GMP data is indicative, not guaranteed

2. Grey Market Disclaimer:

  • We DO NOT facilitate grey market trading
  • We DO NOT trade in IPO applications or shares
  • All GMP data is for informational purposes only
  • Grey market trading is unregulated and risky

3. No Financial Advice:

  • Content is educationalnot investment advice
  • Consult SEBI-registered investment advisors
  • Make decisions based on your risk profile
  • We are not responsible for investment outcomes

4. Data Accuracy:

  • We strive for accuracy but cannot guarantee 100%
  • GMP data is collected from multiple sources
  • Real-time data may have minor delays
  • Always verify from multiple sources

5. User Responsibility:

  • Read all IPO documents (DRHP, RHP)
  • Conduct independent research
  • Assess your financial situation
  • Invest only what you can afford to lose

6. By using this website, you acknowledge that:

  1. You understand investment risks
  2. You will not hold us liable for losses
  3. You will use data for research only
  4. You will comply with all applicable laws

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